Anca Alexia Todoni vs Jessica Pegula Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent six-month analysis reveals Pegula outperforms Todoni on second serve points, with Pegula winning 43.4% compared to Todoni's 38.94%.
• In terms of returning second serves, Pegula again leads, claiming 46.51% of points while Todoni captures 44.8%.
• However, when focusing on first serve returns, Todoni has a slight edge, securing 32.74% over Pegula's 29.8%.
• Under pressure, Pegula demonstrates a stronger breakpoint save rate of 50.54% against Todoni’s 47.8%.
• Examining performance over the past year, Pegula has a higher match win percentage at 72.6% compared to Todoni's 67.24%.
• Todoni excels on clay with a 74% career win rate, whereas Pegula shines on hard surfaces with a 67% win rate.
• Regarding competition levels, Pegula participates more in Masters series events while Todoni plays primarily in Challengers/ITF, yet Todoni’s match victory rate in these is notably high at 81.25%.
• Pegula faces higher-ranked opponents averaging 52.88, compared to Todoni’s average opponent rank of 184.1.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Pegula holds an advantage by winning 64% of such sets, whereas Todoni wins 54%.
• Analyzing break point conversions, Pegula again leads with a conversion rate of 33.81% versus Todoni's 31.16%.

Editorial Prediction (May 27, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match seems to favor Pegula, based on the comparative analysis of their recent performances and key statistics.

Pegula demonstrates superior performance in pivotal areas such as second serve success and breakpoint management, crucial for high-pressure match situations.

Despite Todoni's proficiency on clay and strong Challenger circuit performance, Pegula's consistency against higher-ranked opponents and at more prestigious events suggests a competitive edge.

Pegula’s higher success rate in deciding sets further increases her likelihood of outlasting Todoni in a tightly contested match.

Considering all aspects, Pegula is the likely victor in this matchup.